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CD Marino vs Los Llanos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pirri
(Penalty)
23' Event
Pirri
48' Event
Benzizar B.

AI Match Summary

CD Marino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Marino
20%
Draws
40%
Los Llanos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Los Llanos haven't matched CD Marino's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Marino taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 68%
Los Llanos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Los Llanos
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Los Llanos
4:0
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs CD Marino
0:2
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Los Llanos
1:2
Sep 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs CD Marino
1:2
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs CD Marino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benzizar B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Los Llanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 59 / 100
Los Llanos 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Los Llanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Marino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Marino found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Los Llanos conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

CD Marino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS Los Llanos
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.8
63% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
Page 1 of 7

Los Llanos

(Away)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
11 May
Los Llanos
1 : 2
Panaderia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)