Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Masnou vs CF Vilanova

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Vilanova in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Vilanova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
CD Masnou
35%
Draws
56%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CF Vilanova have won more games recently than CD Masnou.
  • CF Vilanova are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Masnou Clean Sheet 20%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Masnou CF Vilanova
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.78 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Masnou vs CF Vilanova
1:5
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs CD Masnou
0:1
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs CD Masnou
1:1
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CD Masnou vs CF Vilanova
3:2
May 11, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs CD Masnou
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Masnou 20 / 100
CF Vilanova 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Masnou CF Vilanova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Vilanova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Masnou scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

CF Vilanova has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: CD Masnou stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CF Vilanova
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Masnou

(Home)
15 May
Sabadell B
3 : 2
CD Masnou
08 May
CD Masnou
1 : 2
UE Rubi
01 May
Manlleu AEC
2 : 2
CD Masnou
24 Apr
CD Masnou
0 : 1
Peralada
17 Apr
CE Europa
3 : 1
CD Masnou
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CF Vilanova

(Away)
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prat 38 22 9 7 57:27 75
2 Espanyol B 38 19 13 6 68:30 70
3 Manlleu AEC 38 18 11 9 73:48 65
4 Pobla Mafumet 38 18 10 10 52:27 64
5 Cornella 38 16 14 8 52:35 62
6 Santboia 38 16 10 12 47:43 58
7 Terrassa 38 16 10 12 57:55 58
8 FC Vilafranca 38 15 8 15 51:61 53
9 Gava 38 14 11 13 49:50 53
10 Olot 38 13 12 13 53:54 51
11 UE Rubi 38 14 8 16 61:54 50
12 Balaguer 38 13 10 15 36:52 49
13 UE Castelldefels 38 13 10 15 43:47 49
14 UE Vic 38 12 11 15 44:50 47
15 Montanesa 38 11 14 13 42:54 47
16 CE Europa 38 12 10 16 38:46 46
17 Gramenet 38 11 10 17 45:52 43
18 CF Vilanova 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Amposta 38 8 7 23 52:85 31
20 CD Masnou 38 5 9 24 32:68 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)