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CD Mojados vs Mansilles

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Blanco J.
44' Event
Colino A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between CD Mojados and Mansilles finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Mojados
30%
Draws
37%
Mansilles
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mansilles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mansilles come out ahead of CD Mojados on wins alone.
  • Mansilles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
CD Mojados Clean Sheet 16%
Mansilles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mojados Mansilles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs CD Mojados
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs Mansilles
1:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs Mansilles
0:2
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Mansilles vs CD Mojados
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mojados Compare

Top Goalscorer Colino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mansilles Compare

Top Goalscorer Blanco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mojados 28 / 100
Mansilles 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mojados Mansilles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mansilles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mojados found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CD Mojados went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mansilles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Mojados VS Mansilles
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mojados

(Home)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
CD Mojados
0 : 4
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
CD Mojados
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 6

Mansilles

(Away)
20 Sept
Bembibre
0 : 2
Mansilles
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Turegano
1 : 2
Mansilles
10 May
Leonesa B
1 : 1
Mansilles
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)