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CD Mojados vs Palencia CA

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Cadaveira R.
82' Event
Rubo Blanco
90' Event
Gutierrez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between CD Mojados and Palencia CA finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CD Mojados
35%
Draws
30%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Palencia CA come out ahead of CD Mojados on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Palencia CA have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CD Mojados Clean Sheet 16%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mojados Palencia CA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs Palencia CA
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Mojados
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Mojados vs Palencia CA
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs CD Mojados
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mojados Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadaveira R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Palencia CA Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubo Blanco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mojados 31 / 100
Palencia CA 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mojados Palencia CA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Mojados scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Palencia CA has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CD Mojados has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Mojados VS Palencia CA
0.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mojados

(Home)
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1
La Virgen
02 May
Mansilles
0 : 1
CD Mojados
26 Apr
CD Mojados
0 : 4
Atletico Tordesillas
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
CD Mojados
1 : 2
Palencia CA
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Palencia CA

(Away)
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
23 May
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Tordesillas 34 24 6 4 62:24 78
2 Guijuelo 34 21 7 6 54:26 70
3 Palencia CA 34 21 5 8 48:24 68
4 Palencia CF 34 20 4 10 59:39 64
5 Santa Marta Tormes 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
6 Mansilles 34 15 12 7 31:27 57
7 Almazan 34 12 12 10 49:38 48
8 Mirandes B 34 13 8 13 43:35 47
9 La Virgen 34 12 8 14 31:37 44
10 Villaralbo 34 11 9 14 29:37 42
11 Leonesa B 34 12 6 16 38:43 42
12 Arandina 34 9 10 15 32:46 37
13 Colegios Diocesanos 34 10 6 18 33:54 36
14 Bembibre 34 8 10 16 38:52 34
15 Unionistas de Salamanca B 34 6 13 15 32:43 31
16 CD Mojados 34 7 10 17 28:55 31
17 Becerril 34 7 8 19 41:60 29
18 Numancia B 34 6 6 22 26:56 24
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)