Sport Picks
CD Montuiri vs El Espinar Sant Rafel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
CD Montuiri in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Montuiri.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Montuiri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Espinar Sant Rafel haven't matched CD Montuiri's recent run of results.
- CD Montuiri are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 17%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Montuiri | El Espinar Sant Rafel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs CD Montuiri
0:0
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:1
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs CD Montuiri
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Montuiri 48 / 100
El Espinar Sant Rafel 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Montuiri El Espinar Sant Rafel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Montuiri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Montuiri's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: El Espinar Sant Rafel conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: El Espinar Sant Rafel registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Espinar Sant Rafel
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Montuiri
(Home) 15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1 CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0 CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0 CD Montuiri
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08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
03 Apr
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
13 Mar
CD Montuiri
0 : 3 Esporles
01 Mar
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 Binissalem
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El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Away) 27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
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24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Mar
UD Poblense
1 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
16 Mar
Collerense
2 : 1 El Espinar Sant Rafel
12 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
