Sport Picks
CD Montuiri vs UD Poblense
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Montuiri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Montuiri haven't matched UD Poblense's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 20%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Montuiri | UD Poblense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 39 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs CD Montuiri
6:1
Jan 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs UD Poblense
0:0
Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs UD Poblense
2:2
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
UD Poblense vs CD Montuiri
1:0
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs UD Poblense
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Montuiri 36 / 100
UD Poblense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Montuiri UD Poblense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Poblense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Montuiri found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
UD Poblense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
UD Poblense has conceded goals in 56% of their last 39 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS UD Poblense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Montuiri
(Home) 15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1 CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0 CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0 CD Montuiri
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08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
03 Apr
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
13 Mar
CD Montuiri
0 : 3 Esporles
01 Mar
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 Binissalem
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UD Poblense
(Away) 20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
14 Aug
UD Poblense
1 : 0 Baleares
31 May
UD Poblense
1 : 2 Aguilas FC
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0 UD Poblense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0 UD Poblense
24 May
Aguilas FC
0 : 0 UD Poblense
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1 UD Poblense
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1 UD Poblense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
