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CD Mosconia vs Lenense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Ares P.
78' Event
Alonso B.

AI Match Summary

CD Mosconia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
CD Mosconia
20%
Draws
51%
Lenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lenense haven't matched CD Mosconia's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CD Mosconia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Mosconia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 17%
Lenense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Lenense
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Lenense
2:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Mosconia
0:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Lenense
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Mosconia
1:4
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Lenense vs CD Mosconia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ares P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alonso B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lenense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 41 / 100
Lenense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Lenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lenense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

CD Mosconia scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CD Mosconia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Lenense
0.63 Goals Scored 1.86
1 Goals Conceded 1.86
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
Page 1 of 6

Lenense

(Away)
10 May
Lenense
0 : 1
Gijon B
03 May
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Lenense
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Lenense
12 Apr
Lenense
4 : 2
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)