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CD Mosconia vs Llanes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rios S.

AI Match Summary

CD Mosconia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Mosconia
17%
Draws
13%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Mosconia have won more games recently than Llanes.
  • CD Mosconia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Llanes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
6:3
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Llanes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 77 / 100
Llanes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanes conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

CD Mosconia's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Llanes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Llanes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Covadonga
10 May
Navarro
3 : 1
CD Mosconia
03 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
25 Apr
Praviano
1 : 0
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 7

Llanes

(Away)
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
12 Apr
Real Titanico
2 : 0
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)