Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Mosconia vs Llanes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Rios S.

AI Match Summary

CD Mosconia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Mosconia
15%
Draws
0%
Llanes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Mosconia have won more games recently than Llanes.
  • CD Mosconia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 68%
Llanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Llanes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Llanes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 95 / 100
Llanes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Llanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanes conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Llanes has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Mosconia scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Llanes
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
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Llanes

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)