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CD Mosconia vs Union Club Ceares - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Mosconia host Union Club Ceares in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. CD Mosconia have averaged 1.27 scored and 0.85 conceded recently, against Union Club Ceares's 1.35 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor CD Mosconia slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.56) point toward CD Mosconia. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
CD Mosconia
20%
Draws
17%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Union Club Ceares haven't matched CD Mosconia's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Mosconia a 63% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 15%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mosconia Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Union Club Ceares
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs CD Mosconia
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Union Club Ceares
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs CD Mosconia
1:1
Jan 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Union Club Ceares
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mosconia 84 / 100
Union Club Ceares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mosconia Union Club Ceares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mosconia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Mosconia scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Union Club Ceares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Union Club Ceares's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Mosconia VS Union Club Ceares
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mosconia

(Home)
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
26 Sept
CD Mosconia
1 : 0
Andes CF
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 7

Union Club Ceares

(Away)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0
Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)