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CD Mostoles vs AD Colmenar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AD Colmenar in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AD Colmenar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Mostoles
35%
Draws
32%
AD Colmenar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AD Colmenar haven't matched CD Mostoles's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Mostoles a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 20%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles AD Colmenar
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.57 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs AD Colmenar
3:0
Sep 10, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs CD Mostoles
2:2
Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs AD Colmenar
2:3
Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs CD Mostoles
1:2
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs AD Colmenar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 36 / 100
AD Colmenar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles AD Colmenar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Colmenar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Mostoles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CD Mostoles scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7

AD Colmenar

(Away)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)