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CD Mostoles vs Alcorcon B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
CD Mostoles Logo

CD Mostoles

0 - 1
FT
Alcorcon B Logo

Alcorcon B

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Saez S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between CD Mostoles and Alcorcon B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
CD Mostoles
35%
Draws
40%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mostoles come out ahead of Alcorcon B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Alcorcon B a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 13%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs CD Mostoles
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs CD Mostoles
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Alcorcon B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 14 / 100
Alcorcon B 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Alcorcon B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Mostoles stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Alcorcon B
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
25 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
2 : 0
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)