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CD Mostoles vs Burgos CF B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Acuna T.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between CD Mostoles and Burgos CF B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mostoles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
CD Mostoles
30%
Draws
38%
Burgos CF B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • CD Mostoles's 1.34 goals per match outpaces what Burgos CF B have produced (1.24).
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 20%
Burgos CF B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Burgos CF B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Club Friendly
CD Mostoles vs Burgos CF B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Burgos CF B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 32 / 100
Burgos CF B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Burgos CF B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Mostoles scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Burgos CF B conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Burgos CF B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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Burgos CF B

(Away)
03 Oct
Mirandes B
1 : 2
Burgos CF B
27 Sept
Leonesa B
0 : 0
Burgos CF B
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0
Palencia CF
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0
Villaralbo
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