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CD Mostoles vs CD Arganda

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

CD Mostoles host CD Arganda in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. Little to choose between these two on current form. CD Arganda have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while CD Mostoles have conceded 1.13 and scored 2. Head-to-head, CD Mostoles have won 1 to CD Arganda's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2010, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.06) point toward CD Mostoles. CD Mostoles in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Mostoles
40%
Draws
29%
CD Arganda
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Mostoles has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Arganda.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 20%
CD Arganda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles CD Arganda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CD Arganda
2:1
Sep 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Arganda vs CD Mostoles
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 32 / 100
CD Arganda 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles CD Arganda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

CD Arganda let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

CD Mostoles went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Arganda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano B382510368:2385
2Parla382111665:3374
3Getafe B382010877:4170
4Trival Valderas382161177:4569
5CF Fuenlabrada382081052:3368
6Real Madrid C3818101059:4364
7Navalcarnero381761549:4857
8CD Mostoles3815111252:4256
9Rayo Majadahonda381661646:4754
10AD Colmenar381651753:5453
11Atl. Madrid C3814101455:5152
12San Fernando de Henares381481642:5850
13San Sebastian Reyes381481657:5750
14Atletico Pinto3812111543:6247
15Vallecas CF3812101646:5146
16Mexico3810131546:5343
17CD Arganda389121740:6139
18Santa Ana38862438:7330
19CD Ciempozuelos38662636:8024
20Galactico Pegaso38652727:7323