Sport Picks
CD Mostoles vs Galapagar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
AI Match Summary
CD Mostoles host Galapagar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: CD Mostoles at 1.34 goals for, 1.14 against; Galapagar at 1.41 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor CD Mostoles slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.69) back CD Mostoles to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CD Mostoles carry the better recent record into this one.
- CD Mostoles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Mostoles | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: CD Mostoles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
CD Mostoles found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Galapagar let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
CD Mostoles
(Home)Galapagar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Cala Pozuelo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 6 | RC Alcobendas | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 4 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
