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CD Mostoles vs Leganes B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Macazaga L.
72' Event
Sanchez A.
81'
Curras J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CD Mostoles
15%
Draws
27%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Mostoles have won more games recently than Leganes B.
  • Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 20%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Leganes B
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Leganes B
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs CD Mostoles
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Leganes B
0:3
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs CD Mostoles
0:1
Feb 20, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Leganes B vs CD Mostoles
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Macazaga L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 49 / 100
Leganes B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: CD Mostoles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CD Mostoles found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Leganes B let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Leganes B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
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Leganes B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)