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CD Mostoles vs Leganes B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Camara R.
39'
Martinez J.
47' Event
Sanchez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between CD Mostoles and Leganes B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Mostoles
30%
Draws
27%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mostoles come out ahead of Leganes B on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Leganes B
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Leganes B
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Leganes B
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs CD Mostoles
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Leganes B
0:3
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs CD Mostoles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 41 / 100
Leganes B 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Mostoles scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Leganes B let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Leganes B
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7

Leganes B

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)