Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Mostoles vs Paracuellos Antamira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Pradillos Castrillejo J.
53' Event
Nunez R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CD Mostoles
35%
Draws
20%
Paracuellos Antamira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than Paracuellos Antamira.
  • Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Paracuellos Antamira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Paracuellos Antamira
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Paracuellos Antamira vs CD Mostoles
1:3
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Paracuellos Antamira
1:1
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Paracuellos Antamira
2:4
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Paracuellos Antamira vs CD Mostoles
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Paracuellos Antamira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pradillos Castrillejo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 77 / 100
Paracuellos Antamira 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Paracuellos Antamira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paracuellos Antamira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

CD Mostoles went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Mostoles scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7

Paracuellos Antamira

(Away)
12 May
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Paracuellos Antamira
05 May
Paracuellos Antamira
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
01 May
CD Las Rozas
2 : 1
Paracuellos Antamira
28 Apr
Paracuellos Antamira
2 : 2
Collado Villalba
21 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 2
Paracuellos Antamira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid C 34 23 7 4 62:18 76
2 CD Mostoles 34 17 12 5 57:33 63
3 Leganes B 34 16 10 8 47:33 58
4 CD Las Rozas 34 13 11 10 51:39 50
5 Colonia Moscardo 34 14 8 12 48:48 50
6 RSD Alcala 34 13 9 12 52:47 48
7 Tres Cantos 34 14 6 14 45:48 48
8 Alcorcon B 34 11 12 11 36:33 45
9 AD Torrejon 34 9 17 8 40:38 44
10 Galapagar 34 10 11 13 44:55 41
11 Paracuellos Antamira 34 10 10 14 39:47 40
12 Trival Valderas 34 8 16 10 33:40 40
13 Canillas 34 10 10 14 35:46 40
14 Collado Villalba 34 10 9 15 42:46 39
15 Rayo Vallecano B 34 11 6 17 43:57 39
16 Parla 34 9 11 14 37:47 38
17 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
18 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 5 14 15 28:52 29
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2023/2024 (Play Offs)