Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Cordero F.
30'
30'
Canos S.
Own Goal
54'
54'
Kheribi N.
AI Match Summary
CD Mostoles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mostoles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than Tres Cantos.
- CD Mostoles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CD Mostoles have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Tres Cantos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Mostoles | Tres Cantos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Tres Cantos
3:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs CD Mostoles
2:3
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Tres Cantos
3:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Tres Cantos vs CD Mostoles
0:0
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Tres Cantos
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordero F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kheribi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tres Cantos Compare
Top Goalscorer Borrella J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Mostoles 95 / 100
Tres Cantos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Mostoles Tres Cantos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
CD Mostoles has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
CD Mostoles's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Tres Cantos conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
CD Mostoles VS Tres Cantos
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Mostoles
(Home) 20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1 CD Mostoles
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20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5 Siello
19 Apr
CD Mostoles
1 : 1 Leganes B
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Tres Cantos
(Away) 10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
03 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 Leganes B
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
19 Apr
Tres Cantos
2 : 3 AD Torrejon
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4 Tres Cantos
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10 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
26 Apr
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 Tres Cantos
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4 Tres Cantos
28 Mar
Mexico
0 : 5 Tres Cantos
22 Mar
Galapagar
0 : 1 Tres Cantos
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
