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CD Mostoles vs Villaverde San Andres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Koubia M.
11' Event
Kheribi N.
44'
Sanchez N.

AI Match Summary

CD Mostoles in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Mostoles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Mostoles
33%
Draws
27%
Villaverde San Andres
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Mostoles lately — more wins on the board than Villaverde San Andres.
  • Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
Villaverde San Andres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles Villaverde San Andres
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Villaverde San Andres
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs CD Mostoles
1:1
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs Villaverde San Andres
0:0
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs CD Mostoles
0:2
Jan 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Villaverde San Andres vs CD Mostoles
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Mostoles Compare

Top Goalscorer Neves H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kheribi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Villaverde San Andres Compare

Top Goalscorer Koubia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 50 / 100
Villaverde San Andres 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles Villaverde San Andres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Villaverde San Andres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Villaverde San Andres has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS Villaverde San Andres
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622