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CD Nerja vs Mancha

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

0 - 1
FT
Mancha Logo

Mancha

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between CD Nerja and Mancha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mancha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Nerja
30%
Draws
39%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mancha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mancha come out ahead of CD Nerja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mancha's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Nerja Mancha
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Mancha
0:1
Nov 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs CD Nerja
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Nerja 24 / 100
Mancha 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Nerja Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Nerja found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Mancha let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

CD Nerja has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mancha
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Nerja

(Home)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
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Mancha

(Away)
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2
Mancha
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1
Huetor Vega
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)