Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Nerja vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

0 - 0
FT
Marbella Logo

Marbella

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD Nerja
15%
Draws
36%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Nerja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Nerja haven't matched Marbella's recent run of results.
  • Model gives CD Nerja a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 20%
Marbella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Nerja Marbella
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Marbella
0:0
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbella vs CD Nerja
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Nerja 36 / 100
Marbella 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Nerja Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

CD Nerja found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Marbella let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Marbella lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marbella
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Nerja

(Home)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
Page 1 of 6

Marbella

(Away)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)