Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Ourense vs Balmaseda

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ourense in this Copa Federacion 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Ourense
35%
Draws
45%
Balmaseda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • CD Ourense have won more games recently than Balmaseda.
  • Model gives CD Ourense a 20% chance of winning this.
  • CD Ourense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ourense Balmaseda
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2014 Copa Federacion
Balmaseda vs CD Ourense
2:0
Feb 27, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs Balmaseda
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ourense 40 / 100
Balmaseda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ourense Balmaseda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Ourense found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Balmaseda conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Balmaseda
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ourense

(Home)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

Balmaseda

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3