Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Ourense vs Guadalajara

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ourense in this Copa Federacion 2013/2014 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
CD Ourense
20%
Draws
30%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara haven't matched CD Ourense's recent run of results.
  • CD Ourense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • CD Ourense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Ourense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 17%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ourense Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.28 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Ourense vs Guadalajara
2:0
Apr 3, 2014 Copa Federacion
Guadalajara vs CD Ourense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ourense 84 / 100
Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ourense Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: CD Ourense scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Ourense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guadalajara
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ourense

(Home)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
Page 1 of 6

Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Alzira 1
Yeclano 2
Novelda CF 1
Almeria B 0
Lorca FC 2
Alcoyano 5
Espanyol B 3
Pena Deportiva 2
Zaragoza B 3
Binissalem 0
UD Almansa 1
Atletico Pinto 7
Guadalajara 7
Tenerife B 5
CD Alcala 1
Atletico San Jose Promesas 0
Extremadura UD 1
El Palo 3
CD Laredo 0
CD Ourense 5
Racing Club Ferrol 1
Marino De Luanco 3
AD San Juan 2
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 6
Arandina 4
Varea 1
Amorebieta 5
Real Union 3
Pena 1
1/8-finals
Toledo 3
Yeclano 3
Novelda CF 3
Alcoyano 2
Espanyol B 3
Zaragoza B 5
Atletico Pinto 1
Guadalajara 3
CD Alcala 1
El Palo 1
CD Ourense 4
Marino De Luanco 0
Balmaseda 4
CD Tropezon 0
Amorebieta 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Yeclano 1
Novelda CF 4
Zaragoza B 3
Guadalajara 4
CD Alcala 4
CD Ourense 7
Balmaseda 6
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Novelda CF 1
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3
Balmaseda 2
Final
Guadalajara 2
CD Ourense 3