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CD Portosantense vs Dumiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Ze Thiago
64' Event
Marques P.
75'
Fontes A.

AI Match Summary

Dumiense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dumiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Portosantense
35%
Draws
25%
Dumiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Dumiense have won more games recently than CD Portosantense.
  • Model gives CD Portosantense a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 68%
Dumiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Portosantense Dumiense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs Dumiense
1:2
Dec 10, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Dumiense vs CD Portosantense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Portosantense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Dumiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Portosantense 95 / 100
Dumiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Portosantense Dumiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Portosantense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dumiense let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CD Portosantense found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Portosantense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dumiense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Portosantense

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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Dumiense

(Away)
13 Apr
AD Limianos
2 : 2
Dumiense
06 Apr
Dumiense
1 : 5
Brito
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Tirsense
4 : 1
Dumiense
09 Mar
Dumiense
0 : 0
Pevidem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)