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CD Portosantense vs SC Vila Real

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ze Thiago
56' Event
Andre Azevedo

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between CD Portosantense and SC Vila Real finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
CD Portosantense
35%
Draws
13%
SC Vila Real
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Portosantense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Portosantense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 68%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Portosantense SC Vila Real
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs SC Vila Real
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs CD Portosantense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Portosantense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Andre Azevedo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Portosantense 95 / 100
SC Vila Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Portosantense SC Vila Real

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Portosantense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Portosantense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SC Vila Real let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Portosantense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SC Vila Real
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Portosantense

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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SC Vila Real

(Away)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)