Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Puertollano vs Lealtad

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Puertollano in this Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Puertollano
30%
Draws
23%
Lealtad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Puertollano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Puertollano have won more games recently than Lealtad.
  • CD Puertollano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • CD Puertollano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Puertollano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 20%
Lealtad Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Puertollano Lealtad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.35 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2014 Tercera Division - Play Offs
Lealtad vs CD Puertollano
2:0
May 18, 2014 Tercera Division - Play Offs
CD Puertollano vs Lealtad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Puertollano 67 / 100
Lealtad 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Puertollano Lealtad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Puertollano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Puertollano found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Lealtad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CD Puertollano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lealtad
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Puertollano

(Home)
17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0
Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0
CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0
Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1
CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1
Toledo 2
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Lealtad

(Away)
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
07 Aug
Llanera
1 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Salamanca CF UDS
2 : 1
Lealtad
26 Apr
Lealtad
2 : 2
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Varea 1
Leioa 7
UCAM Murcia 3
Betis B 2
Valladolid Promesas 4
Somozas 3
Eldense 2
Marbella 3
Trival Valderas 2
Zaragoza B 4
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Villanovense 4
Mallorca B 4
Atletico Granadilla 1
Izarra 2
Cornella 4
CD Puertollano 1
Lealtad 2