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CD Revilla vs Gama

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sarabia C.
27' Event
Sarabia C.
81' Event
Perojo A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between CD Revilla and Gama finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Revilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
CD Revilla
15%
Draws
48%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Revilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Revilla have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 17%
Gama Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Revilla Gama
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs CD Revilla
4:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Gama vs CD Revilla
2:5
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
3:0
Jan 16, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Gama
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perojo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Gama Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Revilla 31 / 100
Gama 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Revilla Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

CD Revilla found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Gama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: CD Revilla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Revilla VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Revilla

(Home)
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
CD Revilla
Page 1 of 7

Gama

(Away)
10 May
Bezana
0 : 3
Gama
04 May
Gama
4 : 2
CD Revilla
26 Apr
CD Colindres
4 : 0
Gama
20 Apr
Gama
3 : 4
Castro
13 Apr
CD Siete Villas
1 : 3
Gama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)