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CD Revilla vs Velarde

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Montes M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Montes M.
71' Event
Ruiz R.

AI Match Summary

CD Revilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Revilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Revilla
35%
Draws
25%
Velarde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Revilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Revilla have won more games recently than Velarde.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Revilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Revilla Clean Sheet 16%
Velarde Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Revilla Velarde
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.37 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Velarde
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Revilla
2:3
Feb 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Revilla
2:4
Sep 29, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Velarde
0:4
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Revilla vs Velarde
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Velarde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Revilla 75 / 100
Velarde 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Revilla Velarde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Revilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velarde let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Revilla scored in 66% of their last 38 outings.

Solid form: CD Revilla remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Revilla VS Velarde
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Revilla

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0
Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Solares
0 : 2
CD Revilla
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
CD Revilla
1 : 1
CD Barquereno
Page 1 of 8

Velarde

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
01 May
Velarde
0 : 2
CD Siete Villas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)