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CD Roces vs Condal

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025
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Match Events

44' Event
Tuero Gutierrez D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 game between CD Roces and Condal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Roces
15%
Draws
85%
Condal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Roces haven't matched Condal's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
CD Roces Clean Sheet 18%
Condal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Roces Condal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0.5 0.52
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Condal
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs CD Roces
2:2
Apr 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Condal
1:0
Nov 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs CD Roces
1:1
Mar 5, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Roces vs Condal
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Roces Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Condal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuero Gutierrez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Roces 32 / 100
Condal 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Roces Condal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Condal has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Roces found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Roces VS Condal
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Roces

(Home)
11 May
CD Roces
0 : 4
CD Mosconia
04 May
Praviano
3 : 2
CD Roces
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 5
Lealtad
13 Apr
Real Oviedo B
3 : 0
CD Roces
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Condal

(Away)
11 May
Condal
0 : 2
Gijon B
04 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 0
Condal
27 Apr
Condal
1 : 1
CD Colunga
16 Apr
Covadonga
5 : 0
Condal
13 Apr
Condal
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Oviedo B 34 28 5 1 82:14 89
2 Caudal Deportivo 34 23 7 4 67:15 76
3 Covadonga 34 22 7 5 59:17 73
4 Gijon B 34 18 13 3 60:23 67
5 Lealtad 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
6 CD Mosconia 34 16 10 8 45:31 58
7 L Entregu CF 34 14 9 11 44:44 51
8 Praviano 34 10 14 10 32:36 44
9 CD Colunga 34 10 11 13 45:43 41
10 Tuilla 34 11 7 16 31:41 40
11 Aviles Stadium 34 10 8 16 28:63 38
12 Union Club Ceares 34 9 11 14 36:44 38
13 Real Titanico 34 10 6 18 38:56 36
14 EI San Martin 34 6 14 14 23:36 32
15 Lenense 34 8 8 18 30:63 32
16 Basico Urraca 34 5 12 17 35:56 27
17 Condal 34 6 8 20 20:59 26
18 CD Roces 34 1 6 27 16:75 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2024/2025 (Play Offs)