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CD Ronda vs Union Estepona CF

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 game between CD Ronda and Union Estepona CF finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ronda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Ronda
15%
Draws
0%
Union Estepona CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Ronda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ronda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Ronda's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Ronda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
CD Ronda Clean Sheet 10%
Union Estepona CF Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ronda Union Estepona CF
Matches Played 38 35
Wins 12 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 28
Goals Scored 1.29 0.54
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Union Estepona CF
2:0
Aug 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs CD Ronda
0:2
May 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Union Estepona CF
3:2
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Union Estepona CF vs CD Ronda
3:2
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Ronda vs Union Estepona CF
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ronda 65 / 100
Union Estepona CF 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ronda Union Estepona CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ronda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Estepona CF let in goals in 91% of their last 35 matches.

Union Estepona CF lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Ronda scored in 55% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Ronda VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ronda

(Home)
15 May
CD Ronda
4 : 3
UD San Pedro
08 May
Mancha
5 : 1
CD Ronda
30 Apr
CD Ronda
2 : 6
Malaga B
24 Apr
Espanol Alquian
0 : 3
CD Ronda
17 Apr
CD Ronda
1 : 2
Velez
Page 1 of 8

Union Estepona CF

(Away)
11 May
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Melilla B
04 May
Maracena
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
01 May
AD Huercal
2 : 0
Union Estepona CF
27 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Huetor Tajar
06 Apr
Union Estepona CF
0 : 2
Atarfe Industrial
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Palo 38 20 14 4 72:36 74
2 Mancha 38 20 12 6 50:27 72
3 Granada CF B 38 21 9 8 73:35 72
4 Malaga B 38 20 11 7 71:27 71
5 Linares 38 20 10 8 52:30 70
6 Villacarrillo 38 18 11 9 66:41 65
7 Martos 38 18 10 10 52:45 64
8 Velez 38 14 14 10 51:47 56
9 Atarfe Industrial 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Maracena 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
11 Marbella 38 11 16 11 52:53 49
12 Melilla B 38 13 9 16 43:44 48
13 UD San Pedro 38 12 11 15 50:45 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 9 17 53:56 45
15 Union Estepona CF 38 12 9 17 45:55 45
16 Huetor Tajar 38 10 11 17 44:67 41
17 AD Huercal 38 6 13 19 33:73 31
18 Torremolinos 38 6 12 20 32:67 30
19 Alhaurin 38 5 8 25 30:80 23
20 Comarca 38 5 8 25 26:75 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)