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CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Marta play La Estrella in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Santa Marta averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. La Estrella averaged 1 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, CD Santa Marta won 3, La Estrella won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2010 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for CD Santa Marta and 1.05 for La Estrella. This points to a CD Santa Marta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Santa Marta
40%
Draws
29%
La Estrella
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Santa Marta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to La Estrella.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta La Estrella
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella
5:0
Nov 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Santa Marta
0:3
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Santa Marta
3:1
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 32 / 100
La Estrella 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta La Estrella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

La Estrella let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

CD Santa Marta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

La Estrella lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Estrella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Badajoz383251109:19101
2Jerez CF38278377:1489
3Extremadura UD38247777:2679
4Arroyo38228872:4374
5Merida UD38219855:2872
6Sp. Villanueva381813771:5067
7Ciduad de Plasencia381691354:4957
8Don Benito381581548:5053
9Sanvicenteno3813121347:4951
10Imperio Merida3811141359:5647
11Olivenza CP3812111534:4547
12Miajadas381281828:4244
13UD Badajoz381271954:6843
14Moralo381271940:5243
15Valdelacalzada389131635:5440
16CD Coria388102050:7634
17CD Santa Marta38872343:7031
18Montehermoso38862431:7930
19La Estrella38692327:8427
20SP Villafranca38652730:8723