Sport Picks
CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 game between CD Santa Marta and La Estrella finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Santa Marta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Marta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Santa Marta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and CD Santa Marta have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Santa Marta | La Estrella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.92 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella
5:0
Nov 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Santa Marta
0:3
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Santa Marta
3:1
Sep 28, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs La Estrella
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Santa Marta 32 / 100
La Estrella 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Santa Marta La Estrella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Estrella has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
La Estrella lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS La Estrella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Santa Marta
(Home) 15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2 Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1 CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0 Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0 CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4 Valdelacalzada
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15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2 Sp. Villanueva
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0 Sanvicenteno
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4 Valdelacalzada
03 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 1 Don Benito
27 Mar
CD Santa Marta
1 : 3 Merida UD
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La Estrella
(Away) 23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3 CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2 Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0 La Estrella
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16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1 La Estrella
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0 La Estrella
12 Mar
SP Villafranca
2 : 1 La Estrella
26 Feb
Jerez CF
0 : 0 La Estrella
12 Feb
Miajadas
0 : 0 La Estrella
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Badajoz | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 109:19 | 101 |
| 2 | Jerez CF | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 77:14 | 89 |
| 3 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 77:26 | 79 |
| 4 | Arroyo | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 72:43 | 74 |
| 5 | Merida UD | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 55:28 | 72 |
| 6 | Sp. Villanueva | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 71:50 | 67 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 54:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Don Benito | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:50 | 53 |
| 9 | Sanvicenteno | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 47:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Imperio Merida | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 59:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Olivenza CP | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 28:42 | 44 |
| 13 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 54:68 | 43 |
| 14 | Moralo | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:52 | 43 |
| 15 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 35:54 | 40 |
| 16 | CD Coria | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Santa Marta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 43:70 | 31 |
| 18 | Montehermoso | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 31:79 | 30 |
| 19 | La Estrella | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 27:84 | 27 |
| 20 | SP Villafranca | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 30:87 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
