Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010

Miajadas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Santa Marta play Miajadas in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Santa Marta averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Miajadas averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, CD Santa Marta won 1, Miajadas won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 6, 2011 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for CD Santa Marta and 1.18 for Miajadas. This points to a Miajadas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

CD Santa Marta

31%

Draws

35%

Miajadas

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Miajadas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

CD Santa Marta picked up more points recently compared to Miajadas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 62%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%

Miajadas Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 56%

Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Santa Marta	Miajadas
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	7	10
Draws	6	7
Losses	17	21
Goals Scored	0.77	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sep 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Miajadas

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

CD Santa Marta vs Miajadas

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 35 / 100

Miajadas 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Santa Marta Miajadas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Miajadas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Santa Marta attacking → ← attacking Miajadas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Santa Marta scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Miajadas let in goals in 82% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CD Santa Marta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Miajadas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 37

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Badajoz	38	32	5	1	109:19	101
2	Jerez CF	38	27	8	3	77:14	89
3	Extremadura UD	38	24	7	7	77:26	79
4	Arroyo	38	22	8	8	72:43	74
5	Merida UD	38	21	9	8	55:28	72
6	Sp. Villanueva	38	18	13	7	71:50	67
7	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	16	9	13	54:49	57
8	Don Benito	38	15	8	15	48:50	53
9	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:49	51
10	Imperio Merida	38	11	14	13	59:56	47
11	Olivenza CP	38	12	11	15	34:45	47
12	Miajadas	38	12	8	18	28:42	44
13	UD Badajoz	38	12	7	19	54:68	43
14	Moralo	38	12	7	19	40:52	43
15	Valdelacalzada	38	9	13	16	35:54	40
16	CD Coria	38	8	10	20	50:76	34
17	CD Santa Marta	38	8	7	23	43:70	31
18	Montehermoso	38	8	6	24	31:79	30
19	La Estrella	38	6	9	23	27:84	27
20	SP Villafranca	38	6	5	27	30:87	23