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Stadium Background

CD Santa Marta vs Miajadas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CD Santa Marta
15%
Draws
21%
Miajadas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Marta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Miajadas lately — more wins on the board than CD Santa Marta.
  • CD Santa Marta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CD Santa Marta Clean Sheet 20%
Miajadas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Marta Miajadas
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.77 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta
0:0
Sep 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Miajadas
1:2
May 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Santa Marta vs Miajadas
1:1
Jan 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta
0:1
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Miajadas vs CD Santa Marta
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Marta 40 / 100
Miajadas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Marta Miajadas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Marta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Miajadas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 36 matches.

CD Santa Marta's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Miajadas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miajadas
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Marta

(Home)
15 May
CD Santa Marta
0 : 2
Sp. Villanueva
07 May
Moralo
2 : 1
CD Santa Marta
30 Apr
CD Santa Marta
1 : 0
Sanvicenteno
21 Apr
UD Badajoz
4 : 0
CD Santa Marta
17 Apr
CD Santa Marta
2 : 4
Valdelacalzada
Page 1 of 6

Miajadas

(Away)
23 Apr
CD Calamonte
4 : 0
Miajadas
16 Apr
Miajadas
0 : 4
Jerez CF
05 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
1 : 0
Miajadas
01 Apr
UP Plasencia
1 : 1
Miajadas
26 Mar
Miajadas
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Badajoz 38 32 5 1 109:19 101
2 Jerez CF 38 27 8 3 77:14 89
3 Extremadura UD 38 24 7 7 77:26 79
4 Arroyo 38 22 8 8 72:43 74
5 Merida UD 38 21 9 8 55:28 72
6 Sp. Villanueva 38 18 13 7 71:50 67
7 Ciduad de Plasencia 38 16 9 13 54:49 57
8 Don Benito 38 15 8 15 48:50 53
9 Sanvicenteno 38 13 12 13 47:49 51
10 Imperio Merida 38 11 14 13 59:56 47
11 Olivenza CP 38 12 11 15 34:45 47
12 Miajadas 38 12 8 18 28:42 44
13 UD Badajoz 38 12 7 19 54:68 43
14 Moralo 38 12 7 19 40:52 43
15 Valdelacalzada 38 9 13 16 35:54 40
16 CD Coria 38 8 10 20 50:76 34
17 CD Santa Marta 38 8 7 23 43:70 31
18 Montehermoso 38 8 6 24 31:79 30
19 La Estrella 38 6 9 23 27:84 27
20 SP Villafranca 38 6 5 27 30:87 23
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)