Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Union Guimar

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Santa Ursula
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Union Guimar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Santa Ursula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Santa Ursula lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Union Guimar.
  • CD Santa Ursula are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Santa Ursula Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Union Guimar Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Santa Ursula Atletico Union Guimar
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.84 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Union Guimar
0:0
Oct 23, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Union Guimar vs CD Santa Ursula
1:0
Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Union Guimar
0:0
Nov 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Union Guimar vs CD Santa Ursula
3:1
Mar 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Santa Ursula vs Atletico Union Guimar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Santa Ursula 95 / 100
Atletico Union Guimar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Santa Ursula Atletico Union Guimar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Santa Ursula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Union Guimar let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Atletico Union Guimar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Santa Ursula found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

CD Santa Ursula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Santa Ursula VS Atletico Union Guimar
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Santa Ursula

(Home)
11 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0
Union Viera
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1
CD Santa Ursula
17 Apr
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 1
San Miguel
11 Apr
Ibarra
1 : 0
CD Santa Ursula
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Union Guimar

(Away)
27 Sept
Hortaleza
1 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
27 Jun
Atletico Union Guimar
1 : 2
Villa Santa Brigida
19 Jun
Arucas
4 : 0
Atletico Union Guimar
06 Jun
CD La Cuadra
2 : 1
Atletico Union Guimar
30 May
Atletico Union Guimar
2 : 4
UD Guia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 18 10 3 5 27:17 33
2 Panaderia 18 9 5 4 22:14 32
3 Las Palmas C 18 9 3 6 26:22 30
4 Gran Tarajal 18 7 8 3 18:12 29
5 Union Viera 18 8 2 8 26:30 26
6 Lanzarote 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
7 CD La Cuadra 18 7 3 8 25:30 24
8 UD Guia 18 5 4 9 18:28 19
9 Villa Santa Brigida 18 5 3 10 18:21 18
10 Arucas 18 4 4 10 20:27 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mensajero 20 12 4 4 28:17 40
2 SD Tenisca 20 10 5 5 37:20 35
3 Atletico Paso 20 8 9 3 28:15 33
4 CD Buzanada 20 9 5 6 29:21 32
5 Tenerife B 20 9 4 7 33:26 31
6 CD Santa Ursula 20 7 8 5 22:19 29
7 Vera CD 20 8 5 7 24:24 29
8 Tacoronte 20 7 4 9 21:28 25
9 Atletico Victoria 20 5 6 9 16:30 20
10 Atletico Union Guimar 20 2 8 10 19:34 14
11 Ibarra 20 2 4 14 10:33 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 12 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)