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Stadium Background

CD Tarancon vs CD Guadalajara B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cabellud I.
58' Event
Cabellud I.
90' Event
Cabellud I.

AI Match Summary

CD Tarancon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
CD Tarancon
20%
Draws
10%
CD Guadalajara B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Tarancon lately — more wins on the board than CD Guadalajara B.
  • Model gives CD Tarancon a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and CD Tarancon have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon CD Guadalajara B
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.81 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs CD Tarancon
2:6
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs CD Guadalajara B
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs CD Tarancon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabellud I.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CD Guadalajara B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 85 / 100
CD Guadalajara B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon CD Guadalajara B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Tarancon found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

CD Guadalajara B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

CD Tarancon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS CD Guadalajara B
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
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CD Guadalajara B

(Away)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)