Sport Picks
CD Tarancon vs Illescas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Match Events
51'
51'
Ramos Moreno A.
AI Match Summary
Illescas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Illescas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Tarancon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Illescas.
- Model gives CD Tarancon a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 19%
Illescas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tarancon | Illescas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tarancon Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Illescas Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramos Moreno A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Tarancon 67 / 100
Illescas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Tarancon Illescas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: CD Tarancon stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
CD Tarancon scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Illescas has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
CD Tarancon VS Illescas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Tarancon
(Home) 31 Oct
Noblejas
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
24 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 1 Villarrubia
18 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
1 : 2 CD Tarancon
10 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 0 Socuellamos
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 1 Villarrubia
10 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 0 Socuellamos
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1 CD Villa
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 3
Illescas
(Away) 31 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1 Illescas
25 Oct
Illescas
0 : 1 Huracan de Balazote
17 Oct
Villacanas
4 : 3 Illescas
11 Oct
Illescas
1 : 0 La Solana
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2 Illescas
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Manchego Ciudad Real
4 : 1 Illescas
17 Oct
Villacanas
4 : 3 Illescas
03 Oct
Noblejas
1 : 2 Illescas
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Toledo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Villacanas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 4 | Villarrobledo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:2 | 16 |
| 5 | CD Tarancon | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 15 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 7 | Torrijos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Illescas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Marchamalo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 12 |
| 11 | San Clemente | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 12 | UD Almansa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Socuellamos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 15 | Huracan de Balazote | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 7 |
| 16 | La Solana | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:18 | 6 |
| 18 | CD Guadalajara B | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)
