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CD Tarancon vs Illescas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon Logo

CD Tarancon

Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Illescas Logo

Illescas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Tarancon host Illescas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. CD Tarancon have averaged 1.72 scored and 0.78 conceded recently, against Illescas's 0.61 scored and 0.94 conceded. Head-to-head, CD Tarancon have won 2 to Illescas's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.56) point toward CD Tarancon. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Tarancon
35%
Draws
18%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Illescas.
  • Model gives CD Tarancon a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Illescas
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 22 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.72 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.78 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
0:2
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
1:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Illescas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 85 / 100
Illescas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tarancon's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Illescas let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

CD Tarancon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Illescas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
10 May
CD Tarancon
3 : 0
Cazalegas
03 May
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 3
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 8

Illescas

(Away)
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
14 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
CF Talavera
08 Aug
Illescas
1 : 2
Leganes B
10 May
Illescas
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toledo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 UD Almansa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Villarrobledo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Torrijos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Illescas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Quintanar del Rey 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Villarrubia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Manchego Ciudad Real 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Marchamalo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Socuellamos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Huracan de Balazote 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Villacanas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 CD Tarancon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 La Solana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 San Clemente 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Noblejas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 CD Guadalajara B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 CD Villa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)