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CD Tarancon vs UD Almansa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 game between CD Tarancon and UD Almansa finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tarancon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Tarancon
20%
Draws
40%
UD Almansa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Tarancon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 68%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon UD Almansa
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.7 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs UD Almansa
4:1
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs CD Tarancon
0:0
Oct 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs UD Almansa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 68 / 100
UD Almansa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon UD Almansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tarancon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

UD Almansa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CD Tarancon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS UD Almansa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.6
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 60%
0% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1
CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 8

UD Almansa

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guadalajara 34 23 8 3 71:19 77
2 Quintanar del Rey 34 21 7 6 63:29 70
3 Illescas 34 20 7 7 56:33 67
4 Villarrobledo 34 18 10 6 53:25 64
5 Torrijos 34 17 9 8 50:30 60
6 Conquense 34 15 11 8 49:30 56
7 Villarrubia 34 16 7 11 45:38 55
8 Azuqueca 34 16 6 12 55:40 54
9 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 15 9 10 50:26 54
10 CD Tarancon 34 16 3 15 46:45 51
11 Villacanas 34 13 7 14 47:51 46
12 Albacete B 34 11 11 12 47:40 44
13 UD Almansa 34 12 7 15 44:51 43
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 10 7 17 52:56 37
15 San Clemente 34 10 6 18 30:50 36
16 Miguelturreno 34 7 4 23 35:67 25
17 Hogar Alcarreno 34 4 5 25 29:90 17
18 La Roda 34 0 0 34 0:102 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2021/2022 (Play Offs)