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CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Jimenez A.
70' Event
Junior P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 18 game between CD Tarancon and Villarrubia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CD Tarancon
35%
Draws
20%
Villarrubia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Tarancon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tarancon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tarancon Villarrubia
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 19 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs CD Tarancon
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs CD Tarancon
1:1
Dec 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Villarrubia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tarancon Compare

Top Goalscorer Junior P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Villarrubia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tarancon 31 / 100
Villarrubia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tarancon Villarrubia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tarancon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Tarancon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Tarancon scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Villarrubia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CD Tarancon VS Villarrubia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tarancon

(Home)
24 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 1
Villarrubia
18 Oct
Quintanar del Rey
1 : 2
CD Tarancon
10 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 0
Socuellamos
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 7

Villarrubia

(Away)
24 Oct
CD Tarancon
1 : 1
Villarrubia
18 Oct
Villarrubia
4 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
11 Oct
CD Villa
2 : 1
Villarrubia
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Illescas
2 : 0
Villarrubia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchego Ciudad Real 9 7 0 2 14:7 21
2 Toledo 9 6 1 2 20:10 19
3 Villacanas 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
4 Villarrobledo 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
5 CD Tarancon 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 CD Villa 9 5 0 4 10:12 15
7 Torrijos 9 4 2 3 10:8 14
8 Noblejas 9 4 2 3 16:15 14
9 Illescas 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
10 Marchamalo 9 3 3 3 16:16 12
11 San Clemente 9 3 3 3 16:17 12
12 UD Almansa 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
13 Villarrubia 8 1 4 3 9:12 7
14 Socuellamos 8 1 4 3 5:8 7
15 Huracan de Balazote 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
16 La Solana 8 2 0 6 6:11 6
17 Quintanar del Rey 9 1 3 5 11:18 6
18 CD Guadalajara B 8 0 2 6 7:21 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)