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CD Tedeon vs Casalarreina CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Santamaria M.
38' Event
Arkaitz
44' Event
Estefano Puelles J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 game between CD Tedeon and Casalarreina CF finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casalarreina CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Tedeon
15%
Draws
85%
Casalarreina CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Casalarreina CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casalarreina CF come out ahead of CD Tedeon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Casalarreina CF a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
CD Tedeon Clean Sheet 10%
Casalarreina CF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tedeon Casalarreina CF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.77 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Tedeon vs Casalarreina CF
1:3
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CD Tedeon
2:3
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CD Tedeon
4:3
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
CD Tedeon vs Casalarreina CF
0:1
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Casalarreina CF vs CD Tedeon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tedeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Casalarreina CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Arkaitz
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estefano Puelles J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tedeon 10 / 100
Casalarreina CF 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tedeon Casalarreina CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casalarreina CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casalarreina CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CD Tedeon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Casalarreina CF registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Tedeon VS Casalarreina CF
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Tedeon

(Home)
03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5
Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Pena Balsamaiso
04 May
Berceo
4 : 0
CD Tedeon
27 Apr
CD Tedeon
1 : 3
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

Casalarreina CF

(Away)
04 Oct
Calasancio
2 : 1
Casalarreina CF
26 Sept
Casalarreina CF
1 : 5
Agoncillo
18 Sept
Oyonesa
1 : 0
Casalarreina CF
13 Sept
Casalarreina CF
0 : 3
CDFC La Calzada
05 Sept
Pradejon
1 : 2
Casalarreina CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naxara 34 30 3 1 107:12 93
2 UD Logrones B 34 25 4 5 91:29 79
3 Varea 34 20 8 6 65:35 68
4 Arnedo 34 18 7 9 64:35 61
5 Oyonesa 34 16 8 10 52:36 56
6 CDFC La Calzada 34 15 9 10 45:31 54
7 CD Calahorra B 34 12 13 9 51:43 49
8 Pena Balsamaiso 34 14 5 15 46:52 47
9 Yague 34 11 12 11 41:66 45
10 Agoncillo 34 10 12 12 36:44 42
11 Berceo 34 11 7 16 40:47 40
12 Comillas CF 34 11 4 19 40:52 37
13 Haro Deportivo 34 9 9 16 32:54 36
14 Vianes 34 9 6 19 30:44 33
15 Autol 34 7 10 17 27:58 31
16 Casalarreina CF 34 8 4 22 36:88 28
17 River Ebro 34 7 7 20 29:59 28
18 CD Tedeon 34 4 10 20 26:73 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2024/2025 (Play Offs)