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CD Torreperogil vs CP Almeria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rodriguez L. E. M.
18' Event
Sanchez C. M.
27' Event
Pekes

AI Match Summary

CD Torreperogil in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Torreperogil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Torreperogil
15%
Draws
12%
CP Almeria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Torreperogil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CD Torreperogil have won more games recently than CP Almeria.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on CD Torreperogil taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 68%
CP Almeria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Torreperogil CP Almeria
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.94 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs CD Torreperogil
1:2
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs CP Almeria
5:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs CD Torreperogil
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs CP Almeria
1:1
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CP Almeria vs CD Torreperogil
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez L. E. M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez C. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

CP Almeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 50 / 100
CP Almeria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Torreperogil CP Almeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Torreperogil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CP Almeria let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CP Almeria lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Torreperogil scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Torreperogil VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Torreperogil

(Home)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
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CP Almeria

(Away)
11 May
CP Almeria
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
CP Almeria
2 : 2
Marbelli
27 Apr
El Palo
3 : 0
CP Almeria
13 Apr
CP Almeria
0 : 1
Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)