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CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Tajar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Mayas M.
31' Event
Fernandez O.
44' Event
Cano S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between CD Torreperogil and Huetor Tajar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Torreperogil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
CD Torreperogil
15%
Draws
42%
Huetor Tajar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Torreperogil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • CD Torreperogil have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Huetor Tajar are scoring more at 1.2.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 25%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Torreperogil Huetor Tajar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Tajar
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs CD Torreperogil
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Huetor Tajar vs CD Torreperogil
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Tajar
2:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Huetor Tajar
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cano S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Huetor Tajar Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 37 / 100
Huetor Tajar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Torreperogil Huetor Tajar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Huetor Tajar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Huetor Tajar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Torreperogil scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Torreperogil VS Huetor Tajar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Torreperogil

(Home)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 6

Huetor Tajar

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1
Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1
Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)