Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Torreperogil vs Malaga Juniors

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Perez A.
38' Event
Carrillo M.
46' Event
Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Torreperogil
15%
Draws
28%
Malaga Juniors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Torreperogil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Torreperogil lately — more wins on the board than Malaga Juniors.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga Juniors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Torreperogil Malaga Juniors
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.82 1
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Malaga Juniors
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CD Torreperogil
3:1
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Malaga Juniors
1:1
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CD Torreperogil
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga Juniors vs CD Torreperogil
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Malaga Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gaona R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 41 / 100
Malaga Juniors 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Torreperogil Malaga Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Torreperogil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malaga Juniors let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Malaga Juniors's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CD Torreperogil found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Torreperogil VS Malaga Juniors
0.5 Goals Scored 0.67
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Torreperogil

(Home)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 7

Malaga Juniors

(Away)
13 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
4 : 1
Malaga Juniors
06 Sept
Malaga Juniors
1 : 2
Almeria B
11 May
Arenas Armilla
3 : 2
Malaga Juniors
04 May
Malaga Juniors
3 : 1
CP Almeria
01 May
Jaen
1 : 0
Malaga Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaga B 34 26 5 3 76:22 83
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 60:35 73
3 Motril 34 18 7 9 57:35 61
4 Torre del Mar 34 18 7 9 48:30 61
5 Huetor Tajar 34 17 6 11 35:28 57
6 Huetor Vega 34 16 9 9 49:36 57
7 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 14 12 8 53:35 54
8 CD Torreperogil 34 13 11 10 42:37 50
9 Mancha 34 13 7 14 37:39 46
10 Marbelli 34 11 9 14 32:42 42
11 El Palo 34 10 11 13 36:49 41
12 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 10 10 14 43:44 40
13 Arenas Armilla 34 9 11 14 40:49 38
14 Martos 34 11 5 18 28:41 38
15 Atletico de Porcuna 34 9 9 16 45:55 36
16 Ejido 34 7 6 21 36:68 27
17 CP Almeria 34 7 2 25 35:75 23
18 Malaga Juniors 34 5 6 23 31:63 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)