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CD Torreperogil vs Marbelli

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Vieites Blazquez K.
10' Event
Carmona K.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 game between CD Torreperogil and Marbelli finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbelli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
CD Torreperogil
15%
Draws
58%
Marbelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marbelli come out ahead of CD Torreperogil on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marbelli a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 22%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Torreperogil Marbelli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.77 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Marbelli
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs CD Torreperogil
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs CD Torreperogil
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Marbelli
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Torreperogil Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Marbelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Vieites Blazquez K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carmona K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Torreperogil 13 / 100
Marbelli 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Torreperogil Marbelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbelli has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

CD Torreperogil scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

CD Torreperogil has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Torreperogil VS Marbelli
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Torreperogil

(Home)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
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Marbelli

(Away)
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)