Sport Picks
CD Tropezon vs Arnedo
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Santa Ana, Torrelavega 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with CD Tropezon advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and CD Tropezon come out ahead of Arnedo on wins alone.
- Model gives CD Tropezon a 85% chance of winning this.
- CD Tropezon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor CD Tropezon, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors CD Tropezon here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tropezon | Arnedo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tropezon Compare
Arnedo Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Tropezon went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Arnedo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
CD Tropezon found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Arnedo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
