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AI Match Summary
CD Tropezon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to CD Tropezon lately — more wins on the board than Guarnizo.
- Win probability leans CD Tropezon's way, sitting at 90%.
- CD Tropezon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guarnizo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Tropezon | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Tropezon Compare
Guarnizo Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Tropezon's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
CD Tropezon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Guarnizo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
