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CD Tropezon vs SD Noja

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Gago R.
86' Event
Villasana A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between CD Tropezon and SD Noja finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Tropezon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CD Tropezon
6%
Draws
4%
SD Noja
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Tropezon come out ahead of SD Noja on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Tropezon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • CD Tropezon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Tropezon SD Noja
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs SD Noja
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Tropezon
0:2
Sep 23, 2020 Club Friendly
CD Tropezon vs SD Noja
2:0
Feb 9, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
CD Tropezon vs SD Noja
3:1
Sep 28, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
SD Noja vs CD Tropezon
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Tropezon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gago R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villasana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Tropezon 95 / 100
SD Noja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Tropezon SD Noja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Noja let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: CD Tropezon scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

CD Tropezon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Tropezon VS SD Noja
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819