Sport Picks
CD Utrera vs San Roque de Lepe
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Molero P.
46'
46'
Alonso M.
53'
53'
Rodriguez J.
AI Match Summary
CD Utrera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Utrera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
78%
15%
7%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Utrera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- CD Utrera have won more games recently than San Roque de Lepe.
- CD Utrera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Utrera Clean Sheet 68%
San Roque de Lepe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Utrera | San Roque de Lepe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs San Roque de Lepe
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs CD Utrera
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Utrera vs San Roque de Lepe
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
San Roque de Lepe vs CD Utrera
0:2
Mar 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Utrera vs San Roque de Lepe
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Utrera Compare
Top Goalscorer Molero P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alonso M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
San Roque de Lepe Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Utrera 95 / 100
San Roque de Lepe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Utrera San Roque de Lepe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Utrera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Utrera found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
San Roque de Lepe let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
CD Utrera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Utrera VS San Roque de Lepe
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Utrera
(Home) 20 Sept
Pozoblanco
1 : 2 CD Utrera
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0 Conil
06 Sept
Dos Hermanas
3 : 0 CD Utrera
10 May
Bollullos
1 : 2 CD Utrera
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0 Sevilla C
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0 Conil
03 May
CD Utrera
1 : 0 Sevilla C
19 Apr
CD Utrera
0 : 0 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
05 Apr
CD Utrera
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
22 Mar
CD Utrera
3 : 2 Coria C.F.
Page 1 of 3
San Roque de Lepe
(Away) 20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sevilla C
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
13 Sept
Portuense
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
03 May
Cordoba B
2 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
05 Apr
CD Utrera
2 : 1 San Roque de Lepe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
