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CD Vitoria vs Alaves C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hidalgo A.
30' Event
Madariaga A.
75' Event
Collado U.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between CD Vitoria and Alaves C finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CD Vitoria
20%
Draws
33%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Vitoria come out ahead of Alaves C on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 15%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Vitoria Alaves C
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves C vs CD Vitoria
0:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs Alaves C
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Hidalgo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Madariaga A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Alaves C Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Vitoria 35 / 100
Alaves C 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Vitoria Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Vitoria scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Alaves C has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Vitoria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alaves C
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Vitoria

(Home)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
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Alaves C

(Away)
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)