Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Vitoria vs CD Ariznabarra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
CD Vitoria Logo

CD Vitoria

3 - 0
FT
CD Ariznabarra Logo

CD Ariznabarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between CD Vitoria and CD Ariznabarra finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Vitoria
20%
Draws
23%
CD Ariznabarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Vitoria come out ahead of CD Ariznabarra on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on CD Vitoria taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CD Vitoria have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CD Vitoria Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Vitoria CD Ariznabarra
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 1 16
Goals Scored 1.88 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.44 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs CD Ariznabarra
3:0
Nov 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs CD Vitoria
0:1
Apr 9, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs CD Vitoria
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Vitoria vs CD Ariznabarra
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Vitoria 85 / 100
CD Ariznabarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Vitoria CD Ariznabarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Vitoria scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

CD Ariznabarra has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Vitoria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Vitoria VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Vitoria

(Home)
11 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 2
Pasaia
04 May
Padura
0 : 1
CD Vitoria
01 May
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Touring KE
27 Apr
San Ignacio
2 : 0
CD Vitoria
20 Apr
CD Vitoria
2 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 7

CD Ariznabarra

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)