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CD Zafra vs Montijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Zafra host Montijo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CD Zafra at 1.17 goals for, 1.17 against; Montijo at 1.27 for, 1.3 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.18 xG vs 1.23) point toward Montijo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Zafra
15%
Draws
39%
Montijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Zafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Zafra haven't matched Montijo's recent run of results.
  • CD Zafra are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 20%
Montijo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Zafra Montijo
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 1 6
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.18 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Zafra 58 / 100
Montijo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Zafra Montijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Zafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montijo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

CD Zafra found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

CD Zafra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Montijo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Zafra VS Montijo
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Zafra

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 2

Montijo

(Away)
04 Oct
Montijo
2 : 0
Jaraiz
27 Sept
Villanovense
2 : 0
Montijo
20 Sept
Montijo
3 : 1
Guadiana
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
Montijo
1 : 3
Cabeza del Buey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)