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CD Zafra vs Pueblonuevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Chavales J.
52' Event
Cantal P.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Chavales J.

AI Match Summary

CD Zafra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Zafra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Zafra
35%
Draws
19%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Zafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Zafra haven't matched Pueblonuevo's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CD Zafra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 20%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Zafra Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 1 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Zafra vs Pueblonuevo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Zafra Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavales J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chiscano T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Pueblonuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandez Saez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Zafra 85 / 100
Pueblonuevo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Zafra Pueblonuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Zafra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

CD Zafra found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (6 games).

Pueblonuevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

CD Zafra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Zafra VS Pueblonuevo
0.86 Goals Scored 1
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Zafra

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 2

Pueblonuevo

(Away)
03 Oct
Pueblonuevo
0 : 0
Puebla de la Calzada
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Santa Amalia
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 2
Pueblonuevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
10 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
11 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
12 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
15 SP Villafranca 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)